All posts by John Pope

Weekend Newsletter (4/18/2020)

Weekly TSP Fund Update

All of the funds moved up last week. The C Fund led the way with a 3.06% gain. The I Fund advanced by 0.87% while the S Fund gained 0.84%. The F Fund had a 0.68% gain.

Current allocation: 40% C Fund, 40% S Fund and 20% I Fund
YTD Return as of 4/18/2020: -16.62%

New Trades: None

TSP Fund Returns as of 4/18/2020

G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
0.44% 4.69% -10.55% -21.20% -19.59%

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Weekly Wrap Up

Weekend Newsletter (4/12/2020)

Weekly TSP Fund Update

All of the funds moved up last week. The S Fund led the way with a 18.04% gain. The C Fund moved up 12.14% while the I Fund had a 8.20% gain. The F Fund advanced by 0.57%.

Current allocation: 40% C Fund, 40% S Fund and 20% I Fund
YTD Return as of 4/12/2020: -18.08%

New Trades: None

TSP Fund Returns as of 4/12/2020

G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
0.42% 3.98%   -13.21% -21.86% -20.28%

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Weekly Wrap Up

Weekend Newsletter (4/4/2020)

Weekly TSP Fund Update

The F Fund had the week’s only gain of 0.75%. The C Fund fell 2.02% while the I Fund had a 3.69% loss. The S Fund declined by 7.02%.

Current allocation: 40% C Fund, 40% S Fund and 20% I Fund
YTD Return as of 04/03/2020: -27.82%

New Trades: None

TSP Fund Returns as of 4/03/2020

G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
0.41% 3.39%   -22.60% -33.80% -26.32%

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Weekly Wrap Up

Weekend Newsletter (3/28/2020)

Weekly TSP Fund Update

The S Fund led the way with a 13.50% gain. The I Fund advanced by 12.09% while the C Fund had a 10.28% gain. The F Fund moved up by 2.68%.

Current allocation: 40% C Fund, 40% S Fund and 20% I Fund
YTD Return as of 3/27/2020: -24.62%

New Trades: None

TSP Fund Returns as of 3/27/2020

G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
0.39% 2.63%   -21.01% -28.80% -23.49%

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Weekly Wrap Up

Weekend Newsletter (3/22/2020)

Weekly TSP Fund Update

All of the funds fell last week. The F Fund had a 2.37% loss. The I Fund fell by 10.37% while the C Fund had a 14.97% loss. The S Fund declined by 17.35%.

Current allocation: 40% C Fund, 40% S Fund and 20% I Fund
YTD Return as of 3/22/2020: -32.60%

New Trades: None

TSP Fund Returns as of 3/22/2020

G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
0.36% -0.05%   -28.37% -37.27% -31.74%

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Weekly Wrap Up

Weekend Newsletter (3/15/2020)

Weekly TSP Fund Update

Everything except the G Fund fell last week. The F Fund had a 3.18% loss. The C Fund fell 8.75% while the I Fund declined by 14.82%. The S Fund had a 16.98% loss.

Current allocation: 40% C Fund, 40% S Fund and 20% I Fund
YTD Return as of 3/16/2020: -20.71%

New Trades: None

TSP Fund Returns as of 3/16/2020

G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
0.34% 2.38% -15.76% -24.10% -23.85%

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Weekly Wrap Up

Weekend Newsletter (3/7/2020)

Weekly TSP Fund Update

The F Fund had the week’s biggest gain of 1.90%. The C Fund advanced 0.65%. The I and S Funds declined by 0.39% and 1.69%, respectively.

Current allocation: 40% C Fund, 40% S Fund and 20% I Fund
YTD Return as of 3/7/2020: -9.24%

New Trades: None

TSP Fund Returns as of 3/7/2020

G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
0.32% 5.74%   -7.69% -10.12% -10.60%

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Weekly Wrap Up

Fake News! Financial Media Hype vs. Facts

Last week’s meltdown in the stock market was ugly. There’s no denying it. The market doesn’t like uncertainty, and there’s plenty of uncertainty about the coronavirus.

Be that as it may, some financial news stories made the drop sound worse than it actually was. Let’s look at a few of them.

The Fastest 10% Drop in History?

Not so fast, CNBC. It took the Dow four days to exceed a 10% loss last week. The Dow has fallen more than 10% in a single day three times, including a 22.61% loss on October 19, 1987.

The largest point-drop in history

The Dow set a new record by dropping over 1,100 points in a day. This was all over the financial media.

While true, measuring a fall in points is, well, pointless. The Dow only lost 38 points on the infamous “Black Monday” in 1929. But the Dow’s value was only 299 before that crash. A 38 point drop meant it fell almost 13% that day.

The Dow’s worst day last week was Thursday when it fell 4.42%. That’s a big fall, but it’s not even close to making the Top 20 list for largest daily percentage losses.

Over time, the values of stock indexes grow. Comparing a point drop in 2020 to a drop in 2002 or 1973 is meaningless. All comparisons should be in percentages.

What’s next?

It’s anyone’s guess what will happen with coronavirus or the markets next week. The only thing we know is that markets, at least in the U.S., have always recovered from crisis events.

This includes wars, terrorist attacks, major financial panics and the 1918 influenza pandemic which killed 50 million people worldwide and around 675,000 in the U.S. Today’s markets may more at risk due to supply chain disruptions, but it’s too early to assess how long or serious these will be.

Weekend Newsletter (3/1/2020)

Weekly TSP Fund Update

The F Fund was the best performer with a 1.27% gain. The I Fund fell 8.85%. The C Fund dropped by 11.45% while the S Fund had a 12.18% loss.

Current allocation: 40% C Fund, 40% S Fund and 20% I Fund
YTD Return as of 2/28/2020: -8.79%

New Trades: None

TSP Fund Returns as of 2/28/2020

G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
0.30% 3.77%   -8.28% -8.58% -10.25%

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Weekly Wrap Up

Weekend Newsletter (2/22/2020)

Weekly TSP Fund Update

The F Fund had the week’s only gain of 0.54%. The S Fund fell 0.30%. The C and I Funds declined by 1.22% and 1.23%, respectively.

Current allocation: 40% C Fund, 40% S Fund and 20% I Fund
YTD Return as of 2/21/2020: 2.76%

New Trades: None

TSP Fund Returns as of 2/21/2020

G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
0.26% 2.46%   3.58% 4.10% -1.54%

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Weekly Wrap Up